Weekly Data Summary Report
As of October 13, 2025
Below is a summary of the United States, primarily based on critical events related to President Donald Trump, economic conditions, and war conflicts within the week.
Disclaimer: Please note this is opinion-based; do not take it as investment advice.
Key Highlight Event:
The US government Shutdown continues for more than 11 days, and the longer it lasts, the worse it could become, particularly in terms of layoffs. However, the Senate and the U.S. House can’t seem to agree, with one demanding a rise and the other supporting a reduction.
With that being said, employment reports, which were once delayed, continue to be tentative, given the uncertainty in government reopenings. Therefore, if the US shutdown continues this week, this could delay both inflation data and labor data, making it more challenging for the Federal Reserve to reach a reasonable interest rate decision—a.k.a., lack of data. The market this week still expects to see two rate cuts this year, one in October and another in December.
Trade War:
Before the market closed, US President Donald Trump threatened additional 100% tariffs on China, while China vowed to take countermeasures if the US persists in raising tariffs. This has accelerated the tension that was once eased back to its place, while Trump reiterated that the US still has more cards to play. This is particularly targeting the high-tech company—one that uses the rare mineral in production—putting the risk to all the stock market, although the deal negotiation starts on November 01st, 2025. The recent news also reported that both are willing to dive deeper into the dialogue, with a softer tone was seen.
Geopolitical Tension
Ceasefire: Israel and Hamas have come to an agreement in the first phase, focusing on the release of hostages and prisoners, while other terms are likely to take place this week. So the next problem they are facing right now is the medicine and other essential supplies shortage.
Russia-Ukraine: Regardless, tension is not fully eased unless Russia and Ukraine reach a deal. Neither party seems to have any intention to end yet, while the fight still goes on, especially on the Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Last few days, the Ukrainian president requested the Tomahawks—US long-range missiles—while vowing to use them only against the Russian military.
So now, geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and US uncertainty are all coming back and paving the path for gold to rise, especially when the FED interest rate cut is around the corner. But if things change halfway—e.g., the US agrees to China’s tariff—then the gold direction also changes.
