Weekly Data Summary Report
As of September 15, 2025
Below is a summary of the United States, primarily based on critical events related to President Donald Trump, the trade war, and war conflicts within the week.
Disclaimer: Please note this is opinion-based; do not take it as investment advice.
Key Highlight Event:
Economic Aspect: Although input prices dropped, the output prices sold to the consumer are rising above the restrictive level of 2%, which still suggests having higher price pressure. However, with the initial jobless claims climbing to their highest since more than 3 years ago, the market is still pricing in high expectations for the 3 rate cuts this year. This reflects on labor market concerns that may potentially push the economy into a recession zone in the future. Other concerns are the housing market with a drag mortgage rate, along with the national debt from Trump’s concerns. Therefore, this week, the Federal Reserve will announce its rate decision on September 18, 2025, at 1:00 AM Cambodia time with a 25 bps rate cut expectation, albeit Trump predicted a “big cut.”
Israel-Qatar fight: Not only did Israel strike Qatar in the early week, but they continued to violate other countries, such as Gaza, which has killed at least 53 people and destroyed several buildings, including “schools, mosques, hospitals, and medical centers.” It’s also launched “the attack on Syria, on Yemen, and the continuation of attacks on Lebanon—seven countries so far. This aims to achieve ‘the kingdom of Israel,’ the great Israel, as per Adnan Hayajneh, professor of international relations at Qatar University. President Donald Trump is very unpleasant on this, while many other countries support Qatar if some measure is taken. In fact, Qatar is hosting a summit of Arab and Muslim leaders on Sunday and Monday to plot a course of action after Israel’s “cowardly” attack on Doha on Tuesday.
Russia-Ukraine: After Russia invaded Poland’s airspace, Poland downed the Russian drone while closing down the border with Belarus and Russia. Russia threatened to reopen or face the consequences. France, Germany, and Denmark will contribute fighter jets and other military assets to an enhanced defense of Poland. All in all, the tension still exists between these countries, and President Donald Trump stated that “he was willing to impose sanctions on Russia if NATO halts purchasing Russian oil.”
US-China Talk: U.S. and Chinese officials held trade talks in Madrid on Sunday, discussing tense relations, TikTok, and China’s Russian oil purchases. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, “We’ll continue tomorrow.”
Other countries are having internal conflict—protests, including the United Kingdom over anti-immigration, Nepal’s Gen Z-led anti-corruption protests, France over the government overspending, Indonesia over increased allowances, and more.
So what are all of these telling us?
Increasing immigration to other countries will ultimately lead to higher unemployment, a slow economy due to disruption everywhere, and major economic chaos, and wanting to become the king of the region, all of which will lead to panic and support the gold price. But at one point, the gold might retrace due to extreme fear.
The gold price surged by almost 1% for a weekly measure.
