Weekly Data Summary Report
As of October 06, 2025
Below is a summary of the United States, primarily based on critical events related to President Donald Trump, economic conditions, and war conflicts within the week.
Disclaimer: Please note this is opinion-based; do not take it as investment advice.
Key Highlight Event:
Due to the US Shutdown on October 1st, several data, such as Jobless Claims, nonfarm payroll, average hourly earnings, and even the unemployment rate, which was released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), have been delayed until another week (possibly this week, if the US reopens).
Therefore, let’s focus on what we have this week.
Before the shutdown fully takes effect, two major labor data, including the JOLTs Job Openings and ADP Employment Changes, all indicate fragile labor market conditions as businesses become more reluctant to hire employees, although job openings remain high in the report, and strong economic growth last two weeks. Despite this, the market is still seeing a 94.6% rate cut in October and 83% in December this year.
The US Shutdown
The US Shutdown continued to exist, without any immediate resolution between Democrats and Republicans on the budget yet. And even when the report asked Trump regards to layoffs, Trump remained unwavering and said, “The layoffs are occurring and that is because of Democrats.” Layoffs a bad news for the recent job market conditions, and with more coming, this will continue to weaken the outlook. Therefore, the market forecasts a 4.6%-4.7% increase from 4.3% recent data if this shutdown drags on for more than 3 weeks, according to a Bloomberg Economics source. All of these will favor Trump’s goal:
- Layoffs can guarantee a chance for him to fill in his people.
- The Federal Reserve will likely prioritize on rate cut, due to sluggishness and lack of data.
→ gold price now hit 3,900$ per ounce and possibly heading toward 4,000$ per ounce if tension still exists.
Geopolitical Tension
- Russia and Ukraine: Ukrainian President Zelenskyy said, Ukraine is still under Russian attack, with more than 50 missiles and 500 attack drones, which have requested the US for the Tomahawks that can strike targets over 2,500 km away (reach Russia). Putin warns that approving Kyiv’s request to send Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine would “destroy” relations between the US and Russia, calling this a direct act of military involvement.
- Israel-Hamas: For now, Israel and Hamas are heading toward a re-negotiation on the ceasefire over Trump’s plan, with a potential of closing the deal over the release of hostages. As per AP source, “Discussions will focus on the proposed exchange of hostages for Palestinian prisoners held by Israel, Egypt’s foreign ministry said.” Although this deal is expected to occur on Monday, some reported that the fight is still going on and has killed several people. Meanwhile, Trump cited that he will end this first phase this week.
- US-Venezuela: On October 3, a U.S. strike destroyed a vessel near Venezuela, killing four people, claiming it was a narcotics interdiction. While Russia accused them of being reckless. The incident highlights tensions over influence and control in the region, with U.S. drones active and Russia backing Venezuela.
